Buying vs. renting – what should people be doing in 2024?

For individuals intending to stay in Dubai for five years or longer, the financial advantages of buying instead of renting become evident when evaluating the overall return on investment.

The choice between buying and renting depends on individual circumstances for potential buyers. Factors such as perceived security, long-term residency plans, job stability, and the desire to establish roots in Dubai play a crucial role.

For individuals intending to stay in Dubai for five years or longer, the financial advantages of buying rather than renting become evident when assessing the overall return on investment. Even during market downturns, those who choose mortgage payments instead of renting for a similar duration usually find themselves in a more favorable position.

If your stay in Dubai is relatively short-term, it may be more practical to opt for renting rather than purchasing property. Owning a property presents the potential to either rent it out or sell it for a profit. However, buying property involves entry costs and exit expenses. Therefore, if you plan to stay in Dubai for one to three years, renting is likely the better option.

Dubai’s affordability appeal in real estate

In recent years, the Dubai residential market has experienced a well-documented surge in prices, compared to levels observed three or four years ago. However, it is essential to consider Dubai’s position globally. Despite recent increases, Dubai remains relatively undervalued when compared to other major capital cities worldwide, including Paris, Singapore, London, and select regions of the US. This favorable affordability factor continues to draw individuals to Dubai as a preferred destination.

When we look at the number of buyers we are registering at Espace Real Estate, along with the volume of transactions occurring, everything indicates a further price increase, although perhaps not to the same extent as seen over the previous couple of years, but it points to a 5 to 10 percent price increase throughout 2024. If your intention is to purchase and stay in Dubai for an extended period throughout your Dubai experience, I recommend buying instead of renting because, in my opinion, current prices are likely lower than they will be in the next 12 months.

Many clients frequently inquire about the possibility of market decline and its potential outcomes in the worst-case scenario. I consistently advise them to contemplate the absolute worst-case scenario. For example, if they were to unexpectedly lose their job and need to depart Dubai urgently, they must evaluate their ability to repay the mortgage and the potential rental income if they were to lease the property.

It’s essential to purchase within their financial means, acknowledging the market’s potential fluctuations. Nevertheless, it’s crucial to recognize that what declines will eventually rebound, and vice versa. Thus, I consistently emphasize the importance of acquiring a property that aligns with their financial capabilities.

For instance, if their monthly mortgage repayment amounts to AED15,000, totaling AED180,000 annually, they should assess whether this sum can be covered by potential rental income, even during the lowest market conditions. While this scenario may appear extreme, it ensures that the property won’t become a financial burden in unforeseen circumstances.

Although we may not encounter market downturns akin to those in 2020, having this safety net offers peace of mind. In the worst-case scenario, if they possess the property, they can lease it out and eventually sell it for a profit in the future – a strategy historically successful in Dubai’s real estate market.

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